Today’s show is the most revelatory Daily Breakdown ever. It shows that Australia massively overreacted to COVID-19.

We haven’t just spent hundreds of billions of dollars to tamp down COVID-19, we have mortgaged our future for a generation at least.

It would have been cheaper to have asked the elderly to stay inside and delivered them food, bog roll and DVDs of Murder, She Wrote.

Please, share today’s episode. It is easily the most important episode.

The way forward?

Sweden has put a lot of faith in the theories of Anders Tegnell, the architect behind Sweden’s response to COVID-19.

The fatalities have danced up slowly but there is a clear endpoint … although nature will decide it.

But they also made this dramatic strategic decision: they told their citizens, “don’t be stupid”.

The Swedish strategy is to let people be concerned about their own wellbeing and respond accordingly. You know, the way adults do. To assess risk and be sensible.

Read about it at Bloomberg.

Here’s the kicker. These are the deaths in Australia by age as of 3:00 pm yesterday (22 April):

Here’s the data from Sweden:

In other words, 95 per cent of deaths are people over 60. And 87 per cent over 70.

To compare with the flu, in 2018-19, around 88 per cent of deaths were among people aged 65 years and older. The proportion of patients who died increased with increasing age.

To compare total numbers:

True, there are far more COVID-19 cases. But the basic premise holds: disease is always worse when you’re older.

Let’s compare again.

Let’s go to New York City, baby:

New York City Health as of April 14:

AGE
Number of Deaths Share of deaths With underlying conditions Without underlying conditions Unknown if with underlying cond. Share of deaths
of unknown + w/o cond.
0 – 17 years old
3
0.04%
3
0
0
0%
18 – 44 years old
309
4.5%
244
25
40
1.0%
45 – 64 years old
1,581
23.1%
1,343
59
179
3.5%
65 – 74 years old
1,683
24.6%
1,272
26
385
6.0%
75+ years old
3,263
47.7%
2,289
27
947
14.2%
TOTAL
6,839
100%
5,151
137
1,551
24.68%

[1] Underlying illnesses include Diabetes, Lung Disease, Cancer, Immunodeficiency, Heart Disease, Hypertension, Asthma, Kidney Disease, and GI/Liver Disease. [source]

So of the 6,839 deaths as of 14 April, 72 per cent were over 65.

But more importantly, of all deaths across every age group, only 2 per cent died of COVID-19 without a pre-existing condition.

In other words, if you’re sick you’re at risk from a respiratory illness. Which is always the case.

Priorities

Australians have been in lockdown for weeks. Thousands of businesses and families will go to the wall in the coming weeks. Families will bury family members, either due to COVID-19 or due to suicide as a result of the virus.

And in the middle of this, Malcolm Turnbull released a book.

Some people got a hold of an electronic copy and forwarded it. The publisher, rightly, is pissed off. Especially as one of the culprits works in the PM’s office:

Sandy Grant [the publisher] said Mr Morrison should show leadership on the issue when so many people within the Prime Minister’s office and the wider ministerial offices shared the book with no respect for copyright law.

“I am certain the Prime Minister needs to do something about this,” he said.

“It’s out of his office – the people who [breach] copyright and there doesn’t seem to be any consequence.

“If the governing party has any integrity, are any of them going to actually help deal with our copyright problem?” he asked.

Listen here, you pissants, the PM is kinda busy at the moment. How’s about a big fat get stuffed. Does that work for you?

They’re as self-absorbed as Turnbull. Idiots.

This is not normal in Australia

Harold Arlen (d 1983)

Without Harold Arlen the Great American Songbook would bot be quite so, er, great – if only these contributions were counted, he would still be a giant. But this is just a taste of his extraordinary contribution

Perhaps you’ve heard of some of them.

This little ditty, which almost didn’t make it into the film (believe it or not!)

Unfortunately, not enough people remember the great Lena Horne. This medley of Stormy Weather and If you believe from The Wiz highlights her genius:

And these three – Come Rain Or Come Shine/World On A String/Black Magic – from a skinny kid from Hoboken, New Jersey: